Tariffs the Magic Word to Make Us Rich Again

By: Freewavemaker, LLC (Jerry Nix Author)                                                                         Date: 04/02/2025

A cartoon of men fighting with a bag of tariffs

I am trying to figure out why so many people are against the Trump administration for charging tariffs to other countries who want to do business with us. Especially since those other countries charge us for doing business with us. Don’t people realize that Tariffs is truly a tax on others rights to do business here? And the more we can charge them the less our own income tax can be. Let’s look at a few facts that I’ve found along the way.

When did the income tax in America get started?

The United States first introduced a federal income tax in 1861 under the Revenue Act of 1861, primarily to help fund the Civil War. Yes, this is correct. It seems that even though we were fighting each other a tax was need to carry on the battle. I wonder who the brunt of the income tax supported – the union army or the confederate army? Well, here’s the answer:

The federal income tax introduced under the Revenue Act of 1861 was implemented by the Union government, so the funds were used to support the Union Army during the Civil War. The Confederate government, on the other hand, had its own separate financial systems and revenue measures, including a “War Tax” and issuing bonds. It’s fascinating how both sides had to innovate financially to sustain their war efforts. And here I am scratching my head in amazement and wondering why.

The American Civil War, fought from 1861 to 1865, was primarily caused by deep-seated divisions over slavery, states’ rights, and the balance of power between the federal government and individual states.

  • Slavery: The Southern economy relied heavily on enslaved labor for agriculture, particularly cotton production. The Northern states, with industrial economies, had largely abolished slavery and opposed its expansion into new territories.
  • States’ Rights: Southern states argued for their right to govern themselves, including maintaining slavery, while the federal government sought to limit its spread.
  • Secession: Abraham Lincoln’s election in 1860, with his anti-slavery platform, prompted Southern states to secede from the Union, forming the Confederacy.

The war began when Confederate forces attacked Fort Sumter in South Carolina on April 12, 1861. Over four years, the conflict reshaped the nation, leading to the abolition of slavery and a stronger federal government.

So, this original income tax was short-lived. When the civil war ended some estimates of the dead had the number as high as 850,000 though many peg it between 620,000 and 750,000. According to the 1860 U.S. Census, conducted just before the Civil War, the population of the United States was approximately 31.4 million people. This included about 3.9 million enslaved individuals. So the Civil War, it seems, could have reduced the population by between 1.97% and 2.70% depending on the number we use for the dead.

The modern income tax system as we know it today began with the ratification of the Sixteenth Amendment in 1913, which granted Congress the authority to levy an income tax without apportioning it among the states. This led to the Revenue Act of 1913, which officially reintroduced the federal income tax.

  • A 1% tax was applied to incomes above $3,000 for individuals (or $4,000 for married couples).
  • Higher income brackets faced additional surtaxes, with the top rate reaching 7% for incomes exceeding $500,000. In today’s terms, $500,000 from 1913 would be equivalent to approximately $16 million when adjusted for inflation.
  • At the time, this tax affected only about 3% of the population, as most Americans earned below the taxable threshold.

The highest income tax brackets in U.S. history occurred during World War II. In 1944 and 1945, the top marginal tax rate reached an astonishing 94%. This applied to incomes over $200,000, which would be equivalent to several million dollars today when adjusted for inflation. In 1944-1945, the lowest federal income tax bracket was 23%, which applied to taxable incomes up to $2,000 for single filers.

This high rate was part of the government’s effort to fund the war and manage the economy during a time of significant national mobilization. After the war, the top rates gradually decreased, but they remained above 90% until the early 1960s. So, you think taxes are high now? Believe me they are not near as bad as they once were.

But, if the country needs taxation to exists, how did we make it from 1776 to 1861 (about 85 years) without a tax at all on incomes?

That is a very good question, and while I don’t know for sure, I think the Trump Administration may have the answer.

Before the introduction of the federal income tax in 1913, the U.S. government primarily relied on tariffs, excise taxes, customs duties, and land sales to generate revenue.

  • Tariffs: Import taxes were a major source of income, especially in the early years of the nation. The Tariff Act of 1789 was one of the first laws passed to help pay off war debts and protect domestic industries.
  • Excise Taxes: These were taxes on specific goods like alcohol, tobacco, and refined sugar. One of the earliest examples was the Whiskey Tax of 1791, which led to the famous Whiskey Rebellion.
  • Customs Duties: Taxes on imports and exports provided a steady stream of revenue, sometimes accounting for up to 90% of government income between 1790 and 1820.
  • Land Sales: The government sold public lands, particularly in the western territories, to raise funds. The Land Ordinance of 1785 was an early effort to organize and sell land for revenue.

Since the federal government had fewer responsibilities back then—no social programs, welfare, or large-scale infrastructure projects—it didn’t need as much money as it does today.

So, what is the difference between customs duties and tariffs? Great question! While customs duties and tariffs both involve taxes on imported goods, they have some key differences in their application and scope:

  • Tariffs: These are taxes imposed on imports (and sometimes exports) by a government to regulate trade, protect domestic industries, or generate revenue. They are usually broad and can be applied to specific categories of goods or entire industries. Tariffs can be protective (to shield local businesses from foreign competition) or revenue-generating (to raise money for the government).
  • Customs Duties: These are specific taxes levied on imported or exported goods when they pass through customs. They are part of the broader tariff system but tend to be more focused on individual shipments rather than entire trade policies. Duties are calculated based on value, weight, quantity, or other criteria set by the government.

Think of tariffs as the overarching policy tool used for international trade regulation, while customs duties are the specific charges applied at borders.

Before the Income Tax Act of 1913, tariffs, excise taxes, and customs duties were the primary sources of federal revenue. In fact, tariffs alone accounted for up to 95% of federal revenue during certain periods in the 19th century.

Our Current Trade Deficit with the Rest of the World:

Cartoon of a person in boxing gloves and a child in a ring

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A trade deficit occurs when a country’s imports exceed its exports in terms of value during a specific time period. In other words, the nation is buying more goods and services from other countries than it is selling to them. This results in a negative balance of trade.

For example:

  • If the U.S. imports $500 billion worth of goods but exports only $400 billion, it has a trade deficit of $100 billion

Trade deficits can reflect strong consumer demand but may also raise concerns about economic dependence on other nations.

As of the most recent data, the U.S. trade deficit for December 2024 was approximately $98.4 billion. This represents the difference between the value of goods and services the U.S. imported and exported during that month. For the entire year of 2024, the trade deficit increased by 17% compared to 2023.

While it may seem like it to some of you younger readers, America hasn’t always had a trade deficit. In fact, the U.S. ran trade surpluses for much of its early history, particularly during the 19th century. From 1870 to 1970, the U.S. consistently exported more goods than it imported, benefiting from its industrialization and agricultural exports.

The shift to persistent trade deficits began in the 1970s, coinciding with the U.S. becoming more reliant on imported goods and services. This trend has continued to the present day, with the U.S. importing more than it exports.

What the Trump Administration May Be Trying to Do:

We all know that Donald Trump ran on lowering income taxes for the average American taxpayer. However, to do that he is going to have to replace those tax dollars with something else. That has to be Tariffs. If the Trump lowers the income tax and does not get the Tariffs it needs to replace those dollars – then America is just digging a deeper hole to fall into. When we pay a tax to another country for importing their goods and services to us … I’m almost certain they use that money to support their country and the citizens of that country.

President Trump is set to announce a significant round of tariffs today, April 2, which he has dubbed “Liberation Day”. These tariffs are part of his reciprocal trade policy, aiming to match the tariffs imposed by other countries on U.S. goods. The plan includes a 25% tariff on imported cars and auto parts, along with broader measures targeting major trading partners.

The goal is to encourage domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign goods, but economists warn that these tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices and potential disruptions in global trade. The announcement is scheduled for 4 p.m. EDT in the White House Rose Garden. While I believe it could lead to higher prices, I’m not going so far out on a limb to say that they are going to be outrageously high. Trump is simply trying to get from other countries on our exported goods (what little we have now) the same as they are getting from us on their exported goods to us. If he can accomplish this then the amount of taxes he will save you should offset some, if not all, the additional cost to the increased tariffs that are having to be paid. And, this is only if other countries increase their tariffs on us. If they don’t, then you’re already paying more than the product being imported is worth since that tariff has already been charged.

Many countries, as a matter of fact, will build manufacturing plants over here in America since anything built in America does not have any tariffs – and they will likely keep charging the same amount as they charge for importing it to us. So, if they charge you $50,000 for an imported car, they will likely keep charging the same $50,000 building it here for no tariff costs. But, who knows, due to slimy unions and the cost of labor in our country as compared to others – it would not surprise me if the cost even went up a few thousand dollars to the ultimate consumer.

Did you know the average tariff rate the U.S. imposes on imports is relatively low compared to many other countries. As of recent data, the weighted mean applied tariff rate for all products is approximately 1.47%. This reflects the U.S.’s generally open trade policies, though specific goods may have higher rates depending on trade agreements and economic strategies. While the average tariff rates imposed by other countries on U.S. exports vary widely depending on the country and the type of goods. For example:

  • India imposes an average tariff of 17% on U.S. goods.
  • China has an average tariff rate of 7.5%.
  • European Union countries generally impose tariffs around 5%

And look at our two closest neighbors, Canada and Mexico – what are their tariffs on American Imports?

Canada and Mexico generally impose tariffs on U.S. imports based on the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Under this agreement, many goods qualify for zero tariffs if they meet specific rules of origin. However, for goods that fall outside the USMCA preferences:

  • Canada: Tariffs can range from 0% to 10%, depending on the product category. For example, energy products like potash may face a 10% tariff.
  • Mexico: Tariffs are similar, with rates up to 25% for certain goods that do not meet USMCA rules.

These rates reflect the trade policies negotiated under the USMCA, which aims to facilitate trade among the three countries. But that is not the end of the case for tariffs from our neighbors.

  • Canada imposes high tariffs on certain agricultural products like eggs, milk, and dairy. These tariffs can exceed 200% or even 300% in some cases, but they only apply when imports exceed specific tariff rate quotas. Below these quotas, U.S. exports often face zero tariffs under agreements like the USMCA
  • Mexico also imposes high tariffs on certain agricultural products, though they are generally not as extreme as Canada’s. For example, Mexico has tariffs on items like dairy products, poultry, and grains, which can range from 20% to 75% depending on the product and whether it exceeds specific quota limits.

Quota limits, often referred to as tariff rate quotas (TRQs), are a trade policy tool that sets a specific quantity or limit on imports of certain goods at a lower tariff rate. Once imports exceed this quota, a much higher tariff rate is applied to any additional goods. This system is commonly used to protect domestic industries while allowing for some level of foreign competition.

For example:

  • Under Canada’s supply management system, the country allows a certain amount of dairy or eggs to be imported at low or zero tariffs. However, once this quota is surpassed, tariffs can jump to 200%-300% to discourage excessive imports and protect domestic farmers. Do we have any such means to protect our farmers and agricultural businesses? No!

Yes, that’s correct … you are getting more here than is given to you by the Mainstream Media (or the Lame Stream Media) however you wish to look at it.

In Conclusion:

President Donald J. Trump is supposed to be uncovering his plan for Tariffs on the world trading partners this evening at 4:00 Eastern Time. I encourage you to watch it and draw your own conclusions as to whether it is good or bad for America. If you’re like a typical politician or media reporter who cannot see the forest for the trees that get in the way … then you will think it is bad. But, if you can see the big picture, you may understand that long-term it is best for America to stop giving and start taking some back. Prior to 1970 we did not have trade deficits and now we do … and our government (under some old regimes) insist on wasting and spending money we don’t have.

A poster with hands holding money and american flag

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Have a great day and week, month and year!

Jerry Nix | Freewavemaker, LLC

www.freewavemaker.com

7 thoughts on “Tariffs the Magic Word to Make Us Rich Again

  1. Nick "El Gato" Torres

    Hi Jerry, hope your doing well.

    Disclaimer on my following statements: Political party and Personal social beliefs (conservative/liberal/agnostic) need to separated from fiscal policy.

    As a staunch Centrist (Teddy Roosevelt is my fav pres. Reagan, Lincoln, JFK, close seconds), a little “politico” may seep into my comments below, but I’m going to attempt to keep it high level and innocuous.

    I’ll follow up when I have more time with more specific point by point comments on yhe article as a whole, bit right low I’m watching the market fall off a cliff (the biggest ashame is we already had the soft landing. There was no need to put the aircraft back in the air and crash land it), so besides dealing with clients I’m dealing with that today.

    There are basic economic truths, my comments are made in that respect.

    With all due respect Jerry, using Econ 101, that is literally not the effect of how Tariffs work.

    Stock Market drop 1500 points do far today. S&P4% drop today.

    And the premise for them is flawed.

    Factories take years to build, Manufacturing produces far less GDP than R&D and Tech Dev, and Innovation. We need to remember why we as a country purposely moved manufacturing off shore, there’s more wealth to be made doing other things. Attempting to the US economy to a manufacturing base is taking 10 steps backwards. Manufacturing is done in developing and 2nd world countries, not top tier first world ones.

    Then again, I guess with that logic, we could go back to horse and carriages too.

    Tariffs need to used surgically if used at all. Targeted and specific, like a precision bomb, not a daisy cutter.

    Completely destructive economic policy.

    But hey, who doesn’t wanna pay 12 bucks for a dozen eggs, 80K for a new car, and 5 bucks a gallon of gas to drive it.

    This is exactly why our country hasn’t embarked on a kamikaze course of broad tariffs in the past.

    Here’s a great clip of one of the greatest president’s ever explaining it (when America came back and we were the greatest nation on earth for real after the disastrous 70s), when we were respected by friend and foe alike, we defeated the Soviets and won the Cold War (yes Alice, Russia, China, and North Korea are not our friends) and built an economic powerhouse that lasted for 40 years.

    So I’ll end with this. Good luck on getting that tax break that’s being promised, middle and lower class aren’t going to get shit. Oh, there will be some number manipulation, those who don’t know any better will believe they got one, but the true measure will be an answer to the following question, “how much more disposable income do you have now compared to before?”

    That won’t be a positive number. All the supposed tax breaks will easily be eaten up by inflation, lower GDP, and a market that is completely F’d.

    Again, opinions are my own, open to criticism, and no ill will intended to anyone. 😎

    Take care bud, and All

    Here’s that link:

    https://youtu.be/5t5QK03KXPc?si=_In3crHx0BbcEib_

    ~ Nick “El Gato” Torres, Esq.
    (Cold Warrior class of ’86 – ’91)

  2. Nick "El Gato" Torres

    Hi Again Jerry, I forgot one other thing I wanted to mention, related to my Econ 101 comment. This is a really good, easy to understand, article on trade deficits (the underlying excuse for tariffs leading to trade wars) and how they aren’t really good or bad. It just depends on what you do and try to achieve with your economy.

    Trade Deficit: Advantages and Disadvantages https://search.app/bYZGACX4C6K2wZNE9

    Also, the other inherent issues with using tarrifs as a weapon … the other guy can use them too, we don’t hold enough sway anymore in the global economy (thanks to someone’s “great idea” to get us off the gold standard in the 70s, yea, that was genius, and good luck with replacing that with crypto, my monopoly monopoly has better value) so,

    If we hold true the arguments you make for using tarrifs to reduce a trade deficit, the other countries will use your same logic, and we have zero sum gain, other than the loosers in all this, the American consumer, who will, guaranteed, pay more as those tarrifs are ultimately paid for in the sale of the traded good.

    Why do you think billionaires don’t give a shit about this. They can afford it.

    Take care bud,

    NT, ESQ 😎

    1. Nick,
      First off, I want to thank you for taking the time to comment. I’ve approved both of your remarks for public viewing because, even if someone disagrees with me, I believe differing opinions deserve to be seen and heard. That’s how honest dialogue happens.

      I also want you to know that your comments didn’t upset me in the slightest. You’ve known me long enough to understand that when I offer my friendship, it’s genuine and lasting. A difference in opinion doesn’t change that one bit.

      That said, I’d like to take a moment to explain why I tend to support the U.S. imposing tariffs—at least when they’re used strategically.

      1. Before the Income Tax Act of 1913, roughly 90% of the federal government’s revenue came from tariffs and customs fees.
      2. Prior to the Vietnam War, the government typically spent less than it brought in. We didn’t carry anything close to today’s $36 trillion debt.
      3. Most of the tariffs introduced under Trump weren’t meant to stick at their initial levels—they were bargaining tools. Like listing your house at the top of the market range, you aim high and negotiate from there. For example, Vietnam was charging a 46% average tariff on U.S. goods and services. When Trump countered with reciprocal tariffs, Vietnam immediately responded by slashing theirs to 0%, and the U.S. agreed to do the same in return.
      4. Many other countries have long imposed much higher tariffs on U.S. exports than we’ve imposed on theirs. If that system works for their economies, it stands to reason it could also benefit ours.
      5. Like you, I’ve seen losses in the market recently—down about 20–22% overall. I’ve pulled some money out and am holding cash on the sidelines, waiting for the right moment to reinvest.
      6. I believe—like the video I’ll share shortly—that the current market downturn is not accidental. It’s part of a broader plan. By driving the market down, it encourages a shift back into government bonds, which helps reduce national debt. It also pressures the Fed to lower interest rates, which historically leads to lower inflation and increased spending on big-ticket items like cars and homes. In the long run, this could mean a stronger economy—though it may come with some short-term discomfort.

      Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve seen early signs that this approach may be working. Yes, the markets are still sliding. As of today (Sunday), index futures are sharply down: the Dow by 2,318 points, the S&P by 334, the Nasdaq 100 by 1,168, and the small cap index by 84.

      On Friday, I made a 53% return on SQQQ options. If the market continues downward, I may play those again Monday. If it ticks upward, I might put a little into TQQQ options instead. I’m also keeping an eye on Dow and S&P options depending on how things move. Of course, I never invest more than I’m prepared to lose, and I wouldn’t suggest anyone else do otherwise. With consumer confidence low and the VIX high, we may be approaching a prime setup for long-term investment opportunities.

      In the end, I believe properly applied tariffs can lower inflation, raise corporate earnings, increase American employment, and ultimately lift the markets—sooner rather than later.

      Nick, I hope you’ll take a few minutes to watch the video I’m about to share. I don’t know the presenter personally, but he offers a broader perspective that might give you pause for thought.
      Of course, he and I could both be wrong—and you could be entirely right. Only time will tell.

      Hang in there, buddy. And please, stay in touch.

      Warm regards,
      Jerry
      Trump Plan Theory – Spot on 101.mp4

      1. Nick Torres

        Hi Jerry, good to hear from you, and your exactly right, it is good to agree to disagree, and friendships mean much more than moments of disagreement!

        In those immortal words so wisely spoken, “while I may at times vehemently disagree with you, I will defend to the death your right to have and hold your opinions.”

        One point of note, Vietnam, a country that represents only 0.06% of trade with the US, has only “offered” to negotiate to reduce thier tarrifs to 0% and has yet to actually do so.

        Unfortunately most folks don’t have the luxury to make the financial “moves” like you or I do, and and most people cannot “hold on for years” for a strategy like this to work, which I respectfully still believe won’t.

        I say this based on the fact that while your explanation makes sense in a “on paper” sense, it doesn’t factor in the massive near-term inflation which will actually increase interest rates, and the completely unnecessary recession [we literally had a soft landing and were within hundreths of a percentage points of 2%) that will drive consumers into more debt, less spending, and corps to drive down hiring and more layoffs.

        That said, as always, I always do appreciate your perspective and insights Jerry, and hope to publish your writings someday!

        Looking forward to seeing the videos!

        Hope you and the family are doing well!

        Nick “El Gato” – Esq.

      2. Nick, thanks for sending me this article. I have not read it as the website is wanting me to subscribe and I’m about subscribed out. I will try to find it some other way on the internet. I have saved the link and perhaps can get enough information from the headlines that I will be able to find the written article elsewhere on the internet besides this magazine or newspaper. I appreciate your keeping me informed and backing your opinions with source facts. Thank you!

      3. Nick, once again I do apprecciate your comments. I realize that many people do not have the “luxury to make the financial “moves” like you or I do, and and most people cannot “hold on for years” for a strategy like this to work.” But once again I remind you that The top 10% of Americans own approximately 93% of all stocks, according to Federal Reserve data.The wealthiest 1% alone hold 50% of stocks, valued at over $23 trillion. Meanwhile, the bottom 50% of Americans own just 1% of stocks, worth roughly $490 billion. This disparity highlights how stock market gains disproportionately benefit wealthier households, while lower-income groups often have limited access to equity investments. This information comes from Co-Pilot, markets.businessinsider.com and http://www.fool.com. So, if this risky move that Trump is making to crash the markets, put more into treasuries to help refinance the debt and eventuallu spur manufacturing, jobs, and lower inflation in America – then he is indeed a “Robin Hood” stealing from the rich to help the poor. I have nothing against that at all. Nor Does Warren Buffet who just weeks ago said, “The Moves Trump is making to improve the American Economy are some of the greatest presidential moves I’ve seen in the last 50 years,” and let’s not forget that Buffet is known as one of the greatest investors of all time and happens to be in the top 1% that owns 50% of the market. If he’s for it … who are we to fight against it.

        Again, Nick – just my opinion. Please stay in touch, and I know you will.

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